Weekly Update #32
October
10

SITUATION OVERVIEW

This section presents the most up-to-date information on the Ukraine conflict. Key sources of these data are:

  • The UN Office of the Commission of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)

  • The UNHCR data portal

  • The International Office of Migration (IOM)

Further details may be obtained from the provided links to their respective websites.

General Figures


Refugees from Ukraine recorded across Europe

7,646,595

Last updated 4 Oct 2022


Refugees from Ukraine registered for Temporary Protection or similar national protection schemes in Europe

4,210,542

Last updated 4 Oct 2022


Border crossings from Ukraine (since 24 February 2022)

13,736,198

Last updated 4 Oct 2022


Border crossings to Ukraine (since 28 February 2022)

6,468,558695

Last updated 4 Oct 2022

Source: https://data.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine

UKRAINE SITUATION (As of October 6)

  • Several months of intense fighting and hostilities have left a path of destruction and a dire humanitarian situation in the parts of the eastern Kharkivska oblast, which until mid-September were under the control of the Russian Federation.

  • Nearly 140,000 people who are believed to remain in the towns, villages and settlements across the oblast that are back under Government control lack or have extremely limited access to vital items and essential services, including food, water, gas, electricity and medical services.

  • In Izium, essential services have been decimated, leaving between 8,000 and 9,000 people who remain in the town – down from its original population of around 46,000 – completely dependent on humanitarian aid to survive, according to the preliminary findings of a recent mission carried out by the International Organization for Migration (IOM), the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) and the World Food Programme (WFP).

  • The situation is also extremely concerning in Kupiansk, where hostilities and fighting are frequent. Just above 4,000 people out of the pre-war population of 28,000 people remain in the town, according to preliminary data from UN agencies after a mission to the area.



Sources: OCHA Flash Update October 6, 2022

Internally Displaced Populations

(As of September 26)

Estimated number of IDPs:

6,243,000

-732,000 since 23 August.

Estimated number of returnees:

6,036,000

incl. 21% returned from abroad

+23,000 since 23 August

Between 17 and 26 September, the International Organization for Migration (IOM) conducted the ninth round of a rapid representative assessment of the general population in Ukraine.

IDPs BY MACRO-REGION OF CURRENT LOCATION


Macro-region % of IDPs origin # est. IDPs departed per macro-region


KYIV 10% 605,000

EAST 63% 3,953 000

SOUTH 19% 1,210.000

WEST 1% 43,000

NORTH 6% 346,000

CENTRE 1% 86,000

Total est. displaced 6,243,000

ESTIMATED LOCATION OF INTERNALLY DISPLACED PERSONS BY MACRO-REGION

IDP DEMOGRAPHICS

DURATION OF DISPLACEMENT

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF SITUATION AND NEEDS

Those displaced and those in the locations of their habitual residence within Ukraine (whether returnees or non-displaced) face critical needs. The profile and situation of the sub-groups differ slightly, however, often requesting tailored support. The overview below highlights group differences within IOM’s sample of the general population survey.

Civilian Casualties (As of October 2, 2022)


The Office of the Commissioner for Human Rights has recorded a total of 15,246 civilian casualties in Ukraine: from 24 February to 2 October 20220 6,114 killed and 9,132 injured.


  • 6,114 killed: 2,380 men, 1,633 women, 162 girls, and 193 boys, as well as 35 children and 1,711 adults whose sex is yet unknown

  • 9,132 injured: 1,912 men, 1,382 women, 196 girls, and 268 boys, as well as 226 children and 5,148 adults whose sex is yet unknown.



Civilian casualties in Ukraine from 24 February to 2 October 2022, per month

TAKING STOCK AND MOVING FORWARD

Milestones of the Ukrainian crisis since February 24, 2022 are presented below.

An Evolving Response

The context of the Ukrainian crisis has evolved since 24 February 2022, the start of the war. At that time, the Regional Refugee Response Plan covering the period March-December 2022 was basically focused on key sectors, such as protection, health, education, and basic needs that covered accommodation, water, sanitation and hygiene and logistics. Transitional cash assistance was a key modality in providing assistance to refugees. Under the leadership of host Governments, the humanitarian response from 142 partners supported and advised the national response through coordinated interventions reflected in the Regional Refugee Response Plan.

While the Government of Ukraine, with support from humanitarian partners, is leading preparation and implementation of winterization activities, these may not fully meet the needs on the ground and may trigger further internal and cross-border displacement.

Consequently, the Response Plan has been calibrated to address evolving needs, given new contexts and particularly the forthcoming winter season that is expected to extend into the first quarter of 2023. This revised plan, called RECALIBRATION - REGIONAL REFUGEE RESPONSE PLAN also measures the progress made in the past six months and builds on those achievements.


Highlights of the Recalibrated Plan

1. The projected refugee population in host countries adjoining Ukraine has been increased to 9.65 million.

2. Challenges related to winterization, in particular, are at the centre of recalibration of the activities and budgets. The RRP as a whole was adjusted, with partners prioritizing, generally within their initial budgets, provision of winterization assistance to meet urgent needs. The overall financial requirements for the recalibrated RRP decreased by USD 60.6 million, amounting now to just under USD 1.8 billion.

3. Country budgets were adjusted to reflect priorities to address forthcoming challenges, while strengthening most effective programs.

3.1 Poland

  • The Response Plan had reached 526,000 refugees by end of June 2022.

  • RRP partners have prioritized additional cash, protection, and education activities to address emerging and increased needs due to winter, accommodation and the reduction of subsidies for hosting families, the increased cost of living amid rising energy costs, and the integration of refugee children into the Polish education system.

  • Recalibrated budget of US$ 777,764,695 will cover the following:


Protection (incl. GBV & Child Protection) 158,486,189

Food security 10,256,930

Health & Nutrition 48,752,667

Logistics & Operational Support 10,076,399

Education 110,495,645

Basic Needs 419,894,464

(Accommodation/Shelter, CRIs, Cash assistance)

WASH 19,802,400

_______________________________________________________________________

Total 777,764,696


3.2 Moldova

  • Moldova has recorded 90,745 refugees, despite being Europe’s smallest economy. Cash assistance program has reached 100,000 individuals as of June 2022. Refugees from Ukraine have been able to access employment and vocational training, legal support, as well as public services, including primary and specialized health care in Moldova.

  • Preparedness measures for influx of refugees have been initiated, including infrastructure improvements at border crossing points, identification of potential Refugee Accommodation Centres, additional capacity to transport refugees, non-food item stockpiles, deployment of Emergency Medical Teams and multifunctional Emergency Protection Units.

  • The revised plan focuses on socio-economic inclusion of refugees into society and social cohesion in host communities to help them better cope with the upcoming shocks and uncertainty. Recalibrated budget of US$ 391,539,208 will be distributed accordingly.


Protection (incl. GBV & Child Protection) 176,003,484

Food security 37,559,598

Health & Nutrition 32,312,075

Logistics & Operational Support 23,082,084

Livelihoods and Resilience 29,315,000

Education 10,564,100

Basic Needs 75,508,867

(Accommodation/Shelter, CRIs, Cash assistance)

WASH 7,197,000

_______________________________________________________________________

Total 391,539,208


3.3 Romania

  • An estimated 81,158 refugees have stayed in Romania, with 68,695 having received temporary protection.

  • An effective mechanism is in place for referrals of vulnerable refugees, including unaccompanied and separated children, persons with disabilities and persons with serious medical needs. Multi-purpose cash has been an effective way of empowering refugees, reaching a total of 53,000 people by end of July. Helplines and information websites have been launched, and partners are actively supporting the Government's online activities to help raise refugees’ awareness of their rights and of the services available to them.

  • The country’s National Plan of Measures for the Protection and Inclusion of Displaced Persons from Ukraine and Beneficiaries of Temporary Protection in Romania focuses a new approach shift from acute emergency to longer-term protection and inclusion. The Government has established working groups in the areas of health, education, employment, housing, vulnerable persons. To support this Plan, the recalibrated budget of US$ 226, 586,000 will cover will be allocated in the following manner.


Protection (incl. GBV & Child Protection) 139,406,553

Food security 2,876,000

Health & Nutrition 7,116,200

Logistics, Telecoms & Operational Support 1,995,344

Livelihoods and Resilience 4,788,888

Education 9,560,300

Basic Needs 57,725,715

(Accommodation/Shelter, CRIs, Cash assistance)

WASH 3,117,000

_______________________________________________________________________

Total 226,586,000


3.4 Hungary

  • To date, more than 25,000 people have been granted temporary protection.

  • The RPP has focused on basic needs and protection, including child protection and gender-based violence, mental health and psychosocial support, education, and protection from sexual exploitation and abuse. Faith-based organizations and NGOs have been central from the outset of the response in channeling donations and support from the Hungarian community towards refugees, in the form of food, hygiene kits, clothing, products for babies, and accommodation

  • The recalibrated Plan will need to further invest in outreach in order to increase the number of refugees registered for temporary protection. Access to education and specifically to catch-up programmes for children who may have been out of school are key priorities in the recalibrated Plan. The new budget of US$ 75,297,944 will cover the following areas.


Protection (incl. GBV & Child Protection) 28,317,860

Food security 1,100,000

Health & Nutrition 3,947,000

Logistics, Telecoms & Operational Support 1,250,000

Livelihoods and Resilience 1,250,000

Education 2,986,273

Basic Needs 36,246,811

(Accommodation/Shelter, CRIs, Cash assistance)

WASH 200,000

_______________________________________________________________________

Total 75,297,944


3.5 Slovakia

  • There are an estimated 93,384 recorded refugees remaining in Slovakia.

  • The Government-led response has provided practical support and information to children and their families, including over 36,300 children and caregivers who have accessed mental health and psychosocial support. 53,000 individuals have benefited from the inter-agency program, which has extended short-term emergency cash assistance, including for vulnerable children, persons with disabilities and persons with specific needs. Partners have been working closely with the Government to support refugees with access to quality health services, including over 35,800 children and women.

  • The recalibrated budget of US$ 87,477,072 will support building national capacity in key protection sectors such as legal protection, health care, education, child protection, social protection. Expanding access to education with the Slovak school system or informal learning opportunities will additionally be a priority.


Protection (incl. GBV & Child Protection) 31,422,923

Health & Nutrition 5,748,600

Logistics & Operational Support 2,396,500

Livelihoods and Resilience 612,000

Education 8,267,700

Basic Needs 37,947,873

(Accommodation/Shelter, CRIs, Cash assistance)

WASH 1,081,476

_______________________________________________________________________

Total 87,477,072




3.6 Bulgaria

  • Some 67,000 Ukrainian refugees currently remain in the country.

  • The national response to the refugees coming to the country had been hampered by political uncertainty and expiration of the government’s accommodation policy by the end of October. Nonetheless, a cash-for-protection programme launched in August 2022 provided one-time assistance to the most vulnerable refugees with heightened protection risks. Some 25,000 refugees are targeted under this programme through the end of the year. Partners have also provided life-saving medical treatment to people fleeing Ukraine and managed a helpline offering psychosocial support in Ukrainian.

  • Going forward, strengthening the health sector will be crucial, specifically strengthening health systems, supporting the national health workforce, and support immunization efforts. Other priorities will be to improving refugees’ access to information on the social services available to them, including with regards to health, education and employment, and providing winter-related core relief items and health services such as disease surveillance and prevention. The recalibrated budget of US$ 30,961,450 will be allocated accordingly:


Protection (incl. GBV & Child Protection) 16,856,334

Health & Nutrition 3,225,330

Logistics, Telecoms & Operational Support 100,000

Livelihoods and Resilience 150,000

Education 1,488,970

Basic Needs 8,715,486

(Accommodation/Shelter, CRIs, Cash assistance)

WASH 425,330

_______________________________________________________________________

Total 30,961,450



3.7 Czech Republic

  • Over 427,000 Ukrainian refugees had received temporary protection and were estimated to be present in the Czech Republic. The Czech Republic has the third highest absolute number of refugee arrivals in the EU, after Poland and Germany, which represents a significantly higher figure per capita given the Czech Republic’s smaller population.

  • Partners have worked closely with government, particularly in the city of Prague, where more than one-third of refugees are residing, to improve capacity for service provision for refugees. They have improved capacity in the sectors of education, health, and social protection. Partners have also given importance to assisting vulnerable refugees, including unaccompanied and separated children, survivors of exploitation and trafficking, ethnic minorities, and other groups with specific needs.

  • The high density of refugees located in and around the city of Prague has exerted extreme pressure on the existing system of registration and assistance. There is a risk that the initial unprecedented wave of solidarity by citizens and civil society, including provision of free or subsidized accommodation, may ebb, creating further housing instability for refugees. The recalibrated budget of US$ 42,648, 580 will cover the following:


Protection (incl. GBV & Child Protection) 19,873,200

Health & Nutrition 5,667,380

Logistics, Telecoms & Operational Support 100,000

Livelihoods and Resilience 250,000

Education 8,568,000

Basic Needs 8,100,000

(Accommodation/Shelter, CRIs, Cash assistance)

WASH 90,000

_______________________________________________________________________

Total 42,648,580

HOLY FATHER ON UKRAINE

General Audience - 5 October 2022

From greeting to Polish language pilgrims - General Audience 5 October 2022:

I extend my warm greetings to the Polish people who are participating in this audience. Today we remember St. Faustina Kowalska in the liturgy. Through her, God instructed the world to seek salvation in His mercy. Let us remember this especially today, thinking especially of the ongoing war in Ukraine. As I said last Sunday at the Angelus, trust in the mercy of God, who can change hearts, and in the maternal intercession of the Queen of Peace. I bless you from the heart.


From greeting to Italian language pilgrims - General Audience 5 October 2022:

And let us not forget to pray for the tormented Ukraine, always asking the Lord for the gift of peace.

Finally, my thoughts go, as usual, to the young, the sick, the elderly and the newlyweds. I also exhort you to put yourselves in the school of the Poverello (St. Francis) of Assisi, imitating him in love and contemplation of the Crucified.

To all my blessing.


[Saluto cordialmente i Polacchi presenti a quest’udienza. Oggi ricordiamo nella liturgia Santa Faustina Kowalska. Tramite lei, Dio indicò al mondo di cercare la salvezza nella sua misericordia. Ricordiamolo soprattutto oggi, pensando specialmente alla guerra in Ucraina. Come ho detto domenica scorsa all'Angelus, confidiamo nella misericordia di Dio, che può cambiare i cuori, e nella materna intercessione della Regina della Pace. Vi benedico di cuore.]

E non dimentichiamo di pregare per la martoriata Ucraina, sempre chiedendo al Signore il dono della pace.

Links to the full text in ITALIAN

IMAGES FROM CR4U MEMBERS

Meeting with parents of displaced children (courtesy of Caritas Ukraine)