Weekly Update #137
October 14, 2024
October 14, 2024
Refugees from Ukraine recorded across Europe
6,154,000
Last updated September 24 2024
Covers those granted refugee status, temporary asylum status, temporary protection, or statuses through similar national protection schemes, as well as those recorded in the country under other forms of stay
Refugees from Ukraine recorded beyond Europe
571,300
Last updated September 16 2024
Covers those granted refugee status, temporary asylum status, temporary protection, or statuses through similar national protection schemes, as well as those recorded in the country under other forms of stay
Refugees from Ukraine recorded globally
6,725,300
Last updated September 24 2024
Estimated number of internally displaced people (IDPs) in Ukraine (as of Aug 2024)
3,669,000
Source: UNHCR collation of statistics made available by the authorities
Between June and July, an escalation in hostilities in front-line areas and attacks across Ukraine killed and injured civilians, including children, and damaged civilian infrastructure. In particular, June and July saw the largest number of civilian casualties since October 2022, at 1,237, and had the highest number of casualties among children, according to the Human Rights Monitoring Mission to Ukraine (HRMMU). Donetska and Kharkivska oblasts in the east accounted for most civilian casualties, with Donetska Oblast particularly impacted. Incidents with civilian casualties were reported in the occupied areas of Ukraine in the east and south of the country but have not been independently verified. Hostilities also continued to disrupt critical services and destroy livelihoods, especially for people living close to the front line.
Attacks in large urban centres of Dnipro, Kyiv, Kryvyi Rih, as well as other cities, caused multiple civilian casualties and damage to homes, hospitals and schools. In particular, Dnipro — the fourth most-populated city in the country and home to 180,000 displaced people — suffered from repeated attacks in June and July. These attacks affected civilians, including children and humanitarian workers, and damaged homes, health and education facilities and a collective site for displaced people, disrupting people’s access to vital services. A missile attack on 8 July destroyed part of the Okhmadyt Children’s Hospital in Kyiv, leaving child patients without specialized care unavailable in other health facilities in Ukraine. During the reporting period, out of 150 attacks on health care verified by WHO SSA globally, 53 attacks were in Ukraine, causing 13 deaths and 133 injuries. Furthermore, deadly strikes in Kharkiv City and Vilniansk Town in the east and south-east damaged homes and schools.
Fighting in front-line communities affected humanitarian operations and led to new displacements. Insecurity and damage to homes and critical civilian infrastructure forced residents in Donetska, Khersonska and Kharkivska oblasts to leave their homes. Attacks also damaged humanitarian assets and affected humanitarian workers in different parts of the country — from Sumska Oblast in the north-east to Kharkiv City and Donetska Oblast in the east and Khersonska Oblast in the south — impacting the humanitarians’ ability to deliver assistance.
In Donetska Oblast, hostilities which aggravated humanitarian needs also resulted in shrinking humanitarian access. Residents in Myrnohrad, Pokrovsk and Toretsk towns in Donetska Oblast suffered regular attacks, deepening humanitarian needs, while affecting the ability of humanitarians to reach the most vulnerable in these communities.
Strikes on energy and railway infrastructure continued, disrupting vital services. In June, HRMMU documented 33 attacks on energy infrastructure, which destroyed or damaged the energy facilities and temporarily disrupted electricity and water supply. In June and July, HRMMU also documented three attacks on railway infrastructure, affecting critical services.
With the cold season approaching, the humanitarian community developed a Winter Response Plan, appealing for US$492 million to assist 1.8 million vulnerable people during the cold season.
Source: OCHA (October 8 Update)
In August, hostilities in front-line areas and large-scale attacks led to multiple civilian casualties, including children, while homes were destroyed, and civilian infrastructure was damaged across the country, necessitating an adjustment of the humanitarian response to meet arising needs. The destruction and displacement left many without shelter, livelihoods and access to basic services, including health care, while children required alternative learning opportunities and protection. The wave of attacks on Ukraine's critical civilian infrastructure since March 2024 temporarily deprived people of essential services and heightened anticipated winter-related humanitarian needs outlined in the 2024-2025 Winter Response Plan.
Humanitarian actors quickly responded to support people affected by intensified hostilities, especially from Donetska, Kharkivska and Sumska oblasts, both in transit and in receiving areas in coordination with first responders and local authorities.
As of the end of August, humanitarian partners provided at least one type of assistance to 6.7 million people targeted under the Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan 2024 (HNRP). During August alone, over 580 humanitarian organizations, including more than 380 national NGOs, delivered aid to nearly 400,000 people. About 5.4 million people received water, sanitation and hygiene support, primarily through system maintenance, repairs and emergency water supply. Food and farming supplies were distributed to nearly 2.9 million people, focusing on front-line communities. Health-care assistance reached nearly 1.7 million people. In preparation for winter, over 1.2 million people received solid fuel and materials to repair damaged homes, as well as other non-food items. Humanitarians also provided protection services, including general protection, child protection services, gender-based violence prevention, survivor assistance and mine action through explosive ordnance risk education. Over 600,000 people received multi-purpose cash assistance to meet emergency basic needs, and nearly 530,000 people received support to continue education. Living conditions for internally displaced people in selected collective sites were improved.
To reach front-line areas where the security situation is posing access challenges, humanitarian partners delivered 28 inter-agency convoys with assistance for nearly 45,000 people in Donetska, Kharkivska, Khersonska and Zaporizka oblasts, complementing regular programming activities.
The humanitarian response remained underfunded — only 42 per cent of the US$3.1 billion received as of the end of August — limiting the humanitarian community's capacity to address critical needs as new needs arise and winter approaches. Unless timely and predictable funding is secured, humanitarian organizations will struggle to provide essential support and alleviate the hardships faced by those most affected by the war, especially during the winter months ahead.
Source: OCHA (October 7 Update)
Intensified hostilities and shifting front line impacted civilians and civilian infrastructure in hardest-hit oblasts, causing new displacements, restricting humanitarian access.
Attacks across Ukraine impact the residents of urban centres, causing civilian casualties, including children, and disrupting basic services.
Humanitarian response efforts face growing challenges, including safety risks. Six aid workers were killed or injured in July and August alone.
In the first eight months of 2024, the humanitarian community provided at least one form of humanitarian assistance to 6.7 million out of 8.5 million people targeted for support.
The humanitarian response remained underfunded — only 42 per cent of the US$3.1 billion received, which limits aid workers’ capacity to address critical needs as winter approaches.
Ukraine is facing uncertain times regarding continued support from its Western allies. Meanwhile, aid increased during the summer months compared to the spring, driven primarily by funds aimed at stabilizing Ukraine’s economy. This is shown in the latest update of the Ukraine Support Tracker, which tracks aid through August 2024.
In total, Ukraine received approximately €14.6 billion in aid allocations from Western donor countries during the summer months of July and August. However, the type of aid varied significantly between months.
August saw a focus on financial aid for economic stabilization and reconstruction, with €7.9 billion allocated. A major contribution came from the EU’s Ukraine Facility, which provided €2.8 billion in loans and €1.5 billion in grants. The US contributed €3.5 billion in financial aid, primarily through the World Bank. By comparison, humanitarian aid remained modest, with €0.2 billion in July and less than €0.1 billion in August.
However, starting next year, Ukraine could face a significant shortfall in aid. A new US President Donald Trump could block further aid packages in Congress. Additionally, Germany announced recently to cut its budgetary allocation by 50 percent, other European donors might follow. European aid could then be replaced with NATO contributions or loans based on the proceeds from frozen Russian assets.
Estimations based on recent trends in aid allocations show that, if Western donors maintain their current level of effort, total aid next year would amount to just over €100 billion, with €54 billion in financial support.
Without new US aid packages financial aid would fall to around €46 billion. Should European donors also scale back their efforts and follow Germany’s recent announcement to halve their contributions, with financial aid dropping to approximately €27 billion. Under this scenario, total aid to Ukraine could therefore be halved to around €55 billion.
Given the recent passing on April 24th, 2024, of the latest Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act 2024, we can expect new aid allocations as commitments will be Total U.S humanitarian aid allocations amount to EUR 2.5 billion (over 2 years).
For comparison, the same graph for the EU as a whole shows the committed and allocated funds, thus summing up EU-level aid through the EU Commission and Council and all aid by EU member states. This repeats the scheme of Figure 2, but for EU aid. Unlike for the U.S, EU commitments have continued to grow, reaching over EUR 152 billion as of April 30th, 2024. In terms of allocations, EU aid totals EUR 87 billion. There is thus a major gap between commitments and allocations, as less than 60% of promised aid has been delivered or allocated for delivery or disbursement. This means that aid arriving to Ukraine is far smaller than what commitment numbers suggest, and it also means that the EU still has a lot of financial room to allocate future aid to Ukraine.
More and more countries, however, have announced multi-year aid packages. These multi-year commitments often come in the form of special “funds” that are designed to gradually allocate a pot of donor money for specific aid packages. Multi-year commitments tend to be very large and allow both Ukraine and donor countries to better plan aid allocation and delivery over the medium term.
Denmark
In March 2023, Denmark announced its intention to establish a Ukraine fund dedicated to financing future aid for Ukraine. The fund has been expanded several times since then. As of February 29th 2024, the committed funds under the scheme amounted to DKK 59.6 billion (EUR 8 billion) –unevenly spread over 6 years (2023-2028), as follows: 2023: DKK 16.4 billion; 2024: 13.2 billion, 2025: 12.8 billion 2026: 9.2 billion; 2027: 7 billion; 2028: 1 billion.
European Union
In June 2023, the EU Commission proposed a major EU support package of up to EUR 50 billion to be allocated between 2024 and 2027 (EUR 12.5 billion yearly). This so-called “Ukraine Facility” was set up for short- and medium-term assistance under 3 pillars: 1) resilience and reconstruction, 2) budgetary and financial support, and 3) EU accession support, including funds to improve the rule of law and democracy as well as administrative expenses. The finalization of this program was long in the making but it was finally approved on Feb. 1st, 2024.
Norway
On February 16th, 2023, Norway was one of the first donors to establish a multi-year strategy under the so-called Nansen Support Program in February 2023, worth a total of NOK 75 billion (EUR 6.6 billion). Specifically, the fund is currently designed to provide NOK 7.5 billion (EUR 0.65 billion) per year for humanitarian assistance.
Sweden
On the 17th of July, 2023, the Swedish government adopted a new strategy to support Ukraine. The so-called Recovery and Reform cooperation agreement commits approximately EUR 500 million (SEK 6 billion) from 2023 until 2027, focusing on a wide range of aid purposes, including for critical infrastructure, essential social services, the green transition, entrepreneurship and trade, security and stabilisation, and human rights and democracy. Until further information is provided, we consider the financing as evenly split into 5 equal parts.
Switzerland
On April 12th, 2023, the Swiss federal council reserved funding of CHF 1.5 billion for the next international cooperation strategy period from 2025 to 2028 for Ukraine. The fund will be used for humanitarian aid and development cooperation.
I appeal for the Ukrainians not to be left to freeze to death; stop the air strikes against the civilian population, always the most affected. Stop the killing of innocent people!
Next Friday, 18 October, the “Aid to the Suffering Church” Foundation is organizing the initiative “One million children praying the Rosary for peace in the world”. Thank you to all the boys and girls who are participating! Let us join with them and entrust to the intercession of Our Lady – today is the anniversary of her final apparition in Fatima – let us entrust to the intercession of Our Lady tormented Ukraine, Myanmar, Sudan and the other populations who suffer because of war and any form of violence and misery.
Rivolgo il mio appello affinché gli ucraini non siano lasciati morire di freddo, cessino gli attacchi aerei contro la popolazione civile, che è sempre la più colpita. Basta uccidere innocenti!
Venerdì prossimo, 18 ottobre, la Fondazione “Aiuto alla Chiesa che soffre” promuove l’iniziativa “Un milione di bambini recita il Rosario per la pace nel mondo”. Grazie a tutti i bambini e le bambine che partecipano! Ci uniamo a loro e affidiamo all’intercessione della Madonna – della quale oggi ricorre l’anniversario dell’ultima apparizione a Fatima – all’intercessione della Madonna affidiamo la martoriata Ucraina, il Myanmar, il Sudan e le altre popolazioni che soffrono per la guerra e ogni forma di violenza e di miseria.
Links to the full text in ENGLISH and ITALIANIl mio pensiero va infine ai giovani, agli ammalati, agli anziani e agli sposi novelli. Il mese di ottobre, dedicato al Santo Rosario, costituisca un’occasione preziosa per valorizzare questa tradizionale preghiera mariana. Vi esorto tutti a recitare il Rosario ogni giorno, abbandonandovi fiduciosi nelle mani di Maria. A Lei, madre premurosa, affidiamo le sofferenze e il desiderio di pace delle popolazioni che subiscono la pazzia della guerra, in particolare la martoriata Ucraina, la Palestina, Israele, il Myanmar, il Sudan.
Links to the full text in ITALIANCaritas project, in the eastern Ukrainian city of Kharkiv, offers 800 children and an additional 200 parents from socially precarious and economically disadvantaged backgrounds help and support, in coping with everyday life every year and now more important than ever.